River Twice Research
It's often been said that the most dangerous words on Wall Street are "this time it's different."
Time and again, people declare that we've entered a new era free of old problems, and time and again, they're wrong. But equally dangerous is the belief that there is nothing new under the sun. More than two thousand years ago, the Greek philosopher Heracleitus argued that the only constant of life is change and that flux and motion are what propel the world.He also described what would later be known as "creative destruction," the idea that nothing shifts without tension and that every innovation is both creative and disruptive.
The philosophy was complicated, but Heracleitus was able to capture it with eloquent simplicity: "you can't step in the same river twice." Change has been a constant in human history, and in the world we live in today, its pace and scope are accelerating. Traditional models and old systems are still useful, but they aren't enough. And while there are new paradigms, identifying them correctly is difficult. The challenge of today is to analyze the changes, identify the right patterns and know how to apply them. That is the goal of River Twice Research.
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